Industry cash, not public opinion, predicts Democrat votes on defense

Priorities in a one-party system

The theme over the past three weeks is clear: Democratic Party elites reject policies that would improve the conditions of working-class life, but fully back policies that do the opposite. On July 21, the Democratic Party released its 2020 platform, and on July 27 blocked an amendment to include Medicare for All in the platform. Within that period, the majority of House Democrats opposed Rep. Mark Pocan’s amendment — which would have converted 10 percent of the Department of Defense budget to coronavirus relief and social programs — and supported Trump’s budget request for the military by passing the Fiscal Year 2021 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA). The Senate echoed the House proceedings: on July 22, most Senate Democrats opposed Sen. Bernie Sanders’ amendment — which also called for a 10 percent conversion from the defense to non-defense budget — while the majority approved the Senate version of the 2021 NDAA on July 23.

Establishment Democrats’ simultaneous rejection of Medicare for All and support for Trump’s military budget indicates that the party’s fiercest “resistance” occurs along class, rather than partisan, lines. Polls indicate that nearly 70 percent of all Americans and more than 85 percent of Democratic voters support Medicare for All. Only 22 percent of the DNC’s platform committee voted for the Medicare for All amendment. Realigning federal spending priorities by confronting the military-industrial complex is approaching Medicare for All’s level of public support: according to a recent survey conducted by Data For Progress, 56 percent of all US voters and 69 percent of Democratic voters support converting 10 percent of the military budget to fund public health and other social programs. Only 18 percent of Democrats in Congress voted for a more appropriate allocation of public funds.

It is not the party’s base that determines which policies powerful Democrats support. If it did, Democrats would not align themselves with conservatism’s inherent militarism. Rather, when it comes to the US military budget, campaign contributions are a better predictor for how congressional Democrats will vote. The defense industry largely gets what it pays for: the more money a congressional Democrat accepts from the sector, the higher the probability that that representative or senator will vote how the defense industry wants them to vote.

Senate Democrats and the military-industrial complex

Bernie Sanders’ amendment would have converted $74 billion in military spending to social spending. Aside from representing a more appropriate (and popularly-supported) use of public funds, converting even such a small amount from the war economy to the non-war economy would have produced hundreds of thousands of new jobs. A $74 billion investment in healthcare, for example, creates 547,600 more jobs than an equivalent expenditure on the military.

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The Democratic Party platform calls for “conduct[ing] rigorous annual audits of the Pentagon.” Of what value will these audits be if there is no penalty for failure? Since the Department of Defense failed its first and only audit, Congress has repeatedly voted to increase the military budget. Defense industry campaign contributions help cement the military-industrial complex’s culture of unaccountability.

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There are 46 Democrats in the Senate. Had public attitudes amongst Democratic voters been represented in this chamber, 32 Senate Democrats (69 percent) would have both supported Sanders’ amendment and opposed the NDAA. Instead, only eight Senate Democrats (17 percent) chose to represent this (super)majority opinion.

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Senate Democrats
Senator State Defense industry financing Vote, Sanders amendment Vote, 2021 NDAA
Baldwin, Tammy WI $159,660.00 Yes Yes
Bennet, Michael CO $136,848.00 No Yes
Blumenthal, Richard CT $232,231.00 Yes Yes
Booker, Cory NJ $29,883.00 Yes No
Brown, Sherrod OH $129,788.00 No No
Cantwell, Maria WA $63,017.00 Yes Yes
Cardin, Benjamin MD $157,580.00 Yes Yes
Carper, Thomas DE $59,608.00 No Yes
Casey, Robert PA $185,093.00 Yes Yes
Coons, Christopher DE $54,436.00 No Yes
Cortez Mastro, Catherine NV $83,494.00 No Yes
Duckworth, Tammy IL $171,771.00 No Yes
Durbin, Richard IL $367,456.00 Yes Yes
Feinstein, Diane CA $156,030.00 No Yes
Gillibrand, Kristen NY $52,131.00 Yes No
Harris, Kamala CA $33,714.00 No No
Hassan, Margaret NH $86,554.00 No Yes
Heinrich, Martin NM $299,841.00 No Yes
Hirono, Mazie HI $252,949.00 Yes Yes
Jones, Doug AL $207,859.00 No Yes
Kaine, Tim VA $655,572.00 No Yes
Klobuchar, Amy MN $15,887.00 Yes Yes
Leahy, Patrick VT $340,533.00 Yes No
Manchin, Joe WV $159,492.00 No Yes
Markey, Edward MA $25,840.00 Yes No
Menendez, Robert NJ $76,084.00 No Yes
Merkley, Jeff OR $30,245.00 Yes No
Murphy, Christopher CT $154,029.00 Yes Yes
Murray, Patty WA $237,464.00 Yes Yes
Peters, Gary MI $275,943.00 No Yes
Reed, Jack RI $770,512.00 No Yes
Rosen, Jacky NV $79,911.00 No Yes
Sanders, Bernard VT $22,122.00 Yes No
Schatz, Brian HI $246,315.00 Yes Yes
Schumer, Charles NY $345,409.00 Yes Yes
Shaheen, Jeanne NH $411,566.00 No Yes
Sinema, Kyrsten AZ $131,642.00 No Yes
Smith, Tina MN $39,417.00 Yes Yes
Stabenow, Debbie MI $120,837.00 No Yes
Tester, Jon MT $230,325.00 No Yes
Udall, Tom NM $59,227.00 Yes Yes
Van Hollen, Chris MD $152,560.00 Yes Yes
Warner, Mark VA $447,565.00 No Yes
Warren, Elizabeth MA $32,644.00 Yes No
Whitehouse, Sheldon RI $82,165.00 No Yes
Wyden, Ron OR $28,740.00 Yes No
Sources : Open Secrets, SPRI

House Democrats and the military-industrial complex

Democrats control the House. Instead of using this political power effectively, the chamber authorized Trump’s budget request through a bill that Democrats on the House Armed Services Committee named after the committee’s Republican ranking member.

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Adam Smith, Democratic Chair of the House Armed Services Committee, supported the impeachment inquiry on the grounds of corruption: “The American people deserve to know how the President leveraged congressionally authorized taxpayer dollars for his own personal interest.”

How Smith leverages congressionally-authorized funds for his own personal interest is clear.

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There were 228 House Democrats who cast votes for both Pocan’s amendment and the NDAA. Had public attitudes on defense spending been reflected during roll call, at least 157 (69 percent) would have supported Pocan’s amendment and opposed the NDAA after the amendment failed. There were only 41 (18 percent).

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House Democrats
Representative District Defense industry financing Vote, Pocan Amendment Vote, 2021 NDAA
Adams, Alma NC-12 $3,500.00 No Yes
Aguilar, Pete CA-31 $161,480.00 No Yes
Allred, Colin TX-32 $1,943.00 No Yes
Axne, Cynthia IA-03 $1,030.00 No Yes
Barragán, Nanette CA-44 $8,090.00 Yes No
Bass, Karen CA-37 $10,840.00 Yes Yes
Beatty, Joyce OH-03 $6,000.00 Yes Yes
Bera, Ami CA-07 $19,807.00 No Yes
Beyer, Don VA-08 $38,510.00 No Yes
Bishop, Sanford GA-02 $53,500.00 No Yes
Blumenauer, Earl OR-03 $13,608.00 Yes No
Blunt Rochester, Lisa DE-AL $8,030.00 No Yes
Bonamici, Suzanne OR-01 $16,050.00 Yes No
Boyle, Brendan PA-02 $3,000.00 No No
Brindisi, Anthony NY-22 $6,349.00 No Yes
Brown, Anthony MD-04 $127,250.00 No Yes
Brownley, Julia CA-26 $13,371.00 No Yes
Bustos, Cheri IL-17 $93,771.00 No Yes
Butterfield, G.K. NC-01 $3,000.00 No Yes
Carbajal, Salud CA-24 $77,750.00 No Yes
Cárdenas, Tony CA-29 $8,500.00 Yes Yes
Carson, André IN-07 $19,501.00 No Yes
Cartwright, Matt PA-08 $58,792.00 No Yes
Case, Ed HI-01 $22,500.00 No Yes
Casten, Sean IL-06 $10,516.00 No Yes
Castor, Kathy FL-14 $7,500.00 Yes Yes
Castro, Joaquin TX-20 $1,130.00 Yes No
Chu, Judy CA-27 $6,000.00 Yes Yes
Cicilline, David RI-01 $47,656.00 No Yes
Cisneros, Gilbert CA-39 $858.00 No Yes
Clark, Katherine MA-05 $37,150.00 Yes No
Clarke, Yvette NY-09 $1,000.00 Yes No
Clay, William MO-01 $0.00 Yes Yes
Cleaver, Emanuel MO-05 $10,125.00 Yes Yes
Clyburn, James SC-06 $71,955.00 No Yes
Cohen, Steve TN-09 $1,000.00 Yes Yes
Connolly, Gerry VA-11 $108,278.00 No Yes
Cooper, Jim TN-05 $61,800.00 No Yes
Correa, Luis CA-46 $13,500.00 No Yes
Costa, Jim CA-16 $4,000.00 No Yes
Courtney, Joe CT-02 $137,175.00 No Yes
Cox, TJ CA-21 $7,981.00 No Yes
Craig, Angie MN-02 $7,344.00 No Yes
Crist, Charlie FL-13 $138,250.00 No Yes
Crow, Jason CO-06 $21,192.00 No Yes
Cuellar, Henry TX-28 $79,500.00 No Yes
Cunningham, Joe SC-01 $1,653.00 No Yes
Davids, Sharice KS-03 $5,882.00 No Yes
Davis, Danny IL-07 $0.00 Yes No
Davis, Susan CA-53 $25,000.00 No Yes
Dean, Madeleine PA-04 $11,055.00 No Yes
DeFazio, Peter OR-04 $30,816.00 Yes Yes
DeGette, Diana CO-01 $13,555.00 No Yes
DeLauro, Rosa CT-03 $67,630.00 No Yes
DelBene, Suzan WA-01 $14,575.00 No Yes
Delgado, Antonio NY-19 $272.00 No Yes
Demings, Val FL-10 $18,300.00 No Yes
DeSaulnier, Mark CA-11 $2,050.00 Yes No
Deutch, Ted FL-22 $2,500.00 No Yes
Dingell, Debbie MI-12 $10,885.00 Yes No
Doggett, Lloyd TX-35 $0.00 Yes No
Doyle, Michael PA-18 $11,000.00 Yes No
Engel, Eliot NY-16 $42,500.00 No Yes
Escobar, Veronica TX-16 $41,885.00 No Yes
Eshoo, Anna CA-18 $18,000.00 Yes Yes
Espaillat, Adriano NY-13 $1,000.00 Yes No
Evans, Dwight PA-03 $3,501.00 Yes Yes
Finkenauer, Abby IA-01 $10,389.00 No Yes
Fletcher, Lizzie TX-07 $3,257.00 No Yes
Foster, Bill IL-11 $16,797.00 No Yes
Frankel, Lois FL-21 $22,010.00 Yes Yes
Fudge, Marcia OH-11 $8,000.00 Yes Yes
Gabbard, Tulsi HI-02 N/A Yes No
Gallego, Ruben AZ-07 $63,086.00 No Yes
Garamendi, John CA-03 $51,500.00 No Yes
García, Jesús IL-04 $1,255.00 Yes No
Garcia, Sylvia TX-29 $5,000.00 No Yes
Golden, Jared ME-02 $364.00 No Yes
Gomez, Jimmy CA-34 $4,060.00 Yes No
Gonzalez, Vicente TX-15 $10,501.00 No Yes
Gottheimer, Josh NJ-05 $9,004.00 No Yes
Green, Al TX-09 $50.00 Yes Yes
Grijalva, Raul AZ-03 $151.00 Yes Yes
Haaland, Debra NM-01 $7,443.00 No Yes
Harder, Josh CA-10 $2,241.00 No Yes
Hastings, Alcee FL-20 $1,000.00 Yes Yes
Hayes, Jahana CT-05 $6,688.00 Yes Yes
Heck, Denny WA-10 $19,000.00 Yes Yes
Higgins, Brian NY-26 $6,000.00 No Yes
Himes, Jim CT-04 $30,410.00 No Yes
Horn, Kendra OK-05 $13,771.00 No Yes
Horsford, Steven NV-04 $9,523.00 No Yes
Houlahan, Chrissy PA-06 $76,096.00 No Yes
Hoyer, Steny MD-05 $155,966.00 No Yes
Huffman, Jared CA-02 $0.00 Yes Yes
Jackson Lee, Sheila TX-18 $3,000.00 Yes Yes
Jayapal, Pramila WA-07 $0.00 Yes No
Jeffries, Hakeem NY-08 $21,071.00 Yes Yes
Johnson, Eddie Bernice TX-30 $25,000.00 Yes Yes
Johnson, Hank GA-04 $3,005.00 Yes No
Kaptur, Marcy OH-09 $75,000.00 No Yes
Keating, William MA-09 $50,500.00 Yes Yes
Kelly, Robin IL-02 $2,260.00 Yes Yes
Kennedy, Joseph MA-04 $19,805.00 Yes No
Khanna, Ro CA-17 $4,409.00 Yes No
Kildee, Daniel MI-05 $8,028.00 Yes No
Kilmer, Derek WA-06 $129,450.00 No Yes
Kim, Andy NJ-03 $2,553.00 No Yes
Kind, Ron WI-03 $24,002.00 No Yes
Kirkpatrick, Ann AZ-02 $58,496.00 No Yes
Krishnamoorthi, Raja IL-08 $24,220.00 No Yes
Kuster, Ann NH-02 $40,092.00 No Yes
Lamb, Conor PA-17 $410.00 No Yes
Langevin, Jim RI-02 $105,000.00 No Yes
Larsen, Rick WA-02 $64,500.00 No Yes
Larson, John CT-01 $61,000.00 No Yes
Lawrence, Brenda MI-14 $14,250.00 No Yes
Lawson, Al FL-05 $5,000.00 No Yes
Lee, Barbara CA-13 $60.00 Yes No
Lee, Susie NV-03 $10,857.00 No Yes
Levin, Andy MI-09 $4,000.00 Yes No
Levin, Mike CA-49 $2,693.00 No Yes
Lieu, Ted CA-33 $28,171.00 Yes No
Lipinski, Daniel IL-03 $7,500.00 No Yes
Loebsack, David IA-02 $2,500.00 No Yes
Lofgren, Zoe CA-19 $3,000.00 Yes No
Lowenthal, Alan CA-47 $3,020.00 Yes No
Lowey, Nita NY-17 $89,400.00 No Yes
Luján, Ben NM-03 $23,498.00 Yes Yes
Luria, Elaine VA-02 $35,011.00 No Yes
Lynch, Stephen MA-08 $0.00 Yes Yes
Malinowski, Tom NJ-07 $1,379.00 No Yes
Maloney, Carolyn NY-12 $2,012.00 Yes No
Maloney, Sean NY-18 $5,938.00 No Yes
Matsui, Doris CA-06 $10,000.00 Yes Yes
McAdams, Ben UT-04 $14,599.00 No Yes
McBath, Lucy GA-06 $3,796.00 No Yes
McCollum, Betty MN-04 $66,600.00 No Yes
McEachin, Donald VA-04 $10,240.00 No Yes
McGovern, James MA-02 $2,049.00 Yes No
McNerney, Jerry CA-09 $4,850.00 Yes Yes
Meeks, Gregory NY-05 $5,000.00 Yes Yes
Meng, Grace NY-06 $10,500.00 Yes No
Mfume, Kweisi MD-07 $0.00 Yes Yes
Moore, Gwen WI-04 $3,000.00 Yes No
Morelle, Joseph NY-25 $28,000.00 No Yes
Moulton, Seth MA-06 $5,089.00 No Yes
Mucarsel-Powell, Debbie FL-26 $4,807.00 No Yes
Murphy, Stephanie FL-07 $71,779.00 No Yes
Nadler, Jerrold NY-10 $633.00 Yes No
Napolitano, Grace CA-32 $7,000.00 Yes Yes
Neal, Richard MA-01 $63,350.00 Yes Yes
Neguse, Joe CO-02 $11,975.00 Yes Yes
Norcross, Donald NJ-01 $148,135.00 No Yes
O'Halleran, Tom AZ-01 $18,801.00 No Yes
Ocasio-Cortez, Alexandria NY-14 $26,131.00 Yes No
Omar, Ilhan MN-05 $7,570.00 Yes No
Pallone, Frank NJ-06 $37,500.00 Yes Yes
Panetta, Jimmy CA-20 $25,500.00 No Yes
Pappas, Chris NH-01 $1,555.00 No Yes
Pascrell, Bill NJ-09 $26,035.00 No Yes
Payne, Donald NJ-10 $1,000.00 Yes Yes
Perlmutter, Ed CO-07 $57,165.00 No Yes
Peters, Scott CA-52 $102,500.00 No Yes
Peterson, Collin MN-07 $3,000.00 No Yes
Phillips, Dean MN-03 $97.00 No Yes
Pingree, Chellie ME-01 $14,660.00 Yes Yes
Pocan, Mark WI-02 $126.00 Yes No
Porter, Katie CA-45 $4,204.00 Yes Yes
Pressley, Ayanna MA-07 $1,355.00 Yes No
Price, David NC-04 $43,000.00 No Yes
Quigley, Mike IL-05 $24,000.00 No Yes
Raskin, Jamie MD-08 $7,953.00 Yes No
Rice, Kathleen NY-04 $11,800.00 No Yes
Richmond, Cedric LA-02 $17,500.00 No Yes
Rose, Max NY-11 $568.00 No Yes
Rouda, Harley CA-48 $1,811.00 No Yes
Roybal-Allard, Lucille CA-40 $27,000.00 No Yes
Ruiz, Raul CA-36 $38.00 No Yes
Ruppersberger, Dutch MD-02 $158,614.00 No Yes
Rush, Bobby IL-01 $0.00 Yes Yes
Ryan, Tim OH-13 $63,780.00 No Yes
Sánchez, Linda CA-38 $16,000.00 Yes Yes
Sarbanes, John MD-03 $321.00 Yes Yes
Scanlon, Mary PA-05 $13,045.00 No Yes
Schakowsky, Jan IL-09 $250.00 Yes Yes
Schiff, Adam CA-28 $81,637.00 Yes Yes
Schneider, Bradley IL-10 $12,783.00 No Yes
Schrader, Kurt OR-05 $11,500.00 No Yes
Schrier, Kim WA-08 $218.00 No Yes
Scott, Bobby VA-03 $15,250.00 No Yes
Scott, David GA-13 $2,000.00 No Yes
Serrano, José NY-15 $1,000.00 Yes No
Sewell, Terri AL-07 $63,250.00 No Yes
Shalala, Donna FL-27 $4,012.00 No Yes
Sherman, Brad CA-30 $14,800.00 Yes Yes
Sherrill, Mikie NJ-11 $75,551.00 No Yes
Sires, Albio NJ-08 $0.00 No Yes
Slotkin, Elissa MI-08 $20,868.00 No Yes
Smith, Adam WA-09 $376,650.00 No Yes
Soto, Darren FL-09 $9,045.00 No Yes
Souzzi, Tom NY-03 $41,050.00 No Yes
Spanberger, Abigail VA-07 $6,229.00 No Yes
Speier, Jackie CA-14 $3,000.00 Yes Yes
Stanton, Greg AZ-09 $13,145.00 No Yes
Stevens, Haley MI-11 $18,896.00 No Yes
Swalwell, Eric CA-15 $15,088.00 No Yes
Takano, Mark CA-41 $0.00 Yes Yes
Thompson, Bennie MS-02 $58,760.00 Yes Yes
Thompson, Mike CA-05 $6,000.00 No Yes
Titus, Dina NV-01 $3,615.00 No Yes
Tlaib, Rashida MI-13 $4,179.00 Yes No
Tonko, Paul NY-20 $12,005.00 Yes No
Torres Small, Xochitl NM-02 $7,871.00 No Yes
Torres, Norma CA-35 $6,005.00 No Yes
Trahan, Lori MA-03 $1,250.00 Yes Yes
Trone, David MD-06 $3,540.00 No Yes
Underwood, Lauren IL-14 $2,375.00 No Yes
Vargas, Juan CA-51 $17,000.00 Yes No
Veasey, Marc TX-33 $61,250.00 No Yes
Vela, Filemon TX-34 $36,500.00 No Yes
Visclosky, Peter IN-01 $247,924.00 No Yes
Wasserman Schultz, Debbie FL-23 $31,378.00 No Yes
Waters, Maxine CA-43 $100.00 Yes No
Watson Coleman, Bonnie NJ-12 $10,110.00 Yes No
Welch, Peter VT-AL $5,249.00 Yes No
Wexton, Jennifer VA-10 $78,257.00 No Yes
Wild, Susan PA-07 $294.00 No Yes
Wilson, Frederica FL-24 $45.00 Yes Yes
Yarmuth, John KY-03 $7,000.00 Yes Yes
SOURCE: Open Secrets, SPRI

Methodological notes

  • Data refers only to members of Congress who cast votes both for the 10 percent reduction amendment and the NDAA. While all Senate Democrats voted for both, Rep. Nydia Velázquez did not cast a vote for the NDAA (but she did vote Yes on Pocan’s amendment). So far this election cycle, she has taken in $6 in defense industry campaign contributions. As House Speaker, Nancy Pelosi will not vote until the conference version of the NDAA. So far this election cycle, Pelosi has taken in $59,402 in defense industry contributions.

  • Campaign financing data from Open Secrets. House figures refer to total defense industry campaign contributions accepted from 2018 to so far in 2020. Senate figures refer to total defense industry campaign contributions accepted from 2015 to so far in 2020.

  • There is no campaign financing data available for Tulsi Gabbard via Open Secrets for the 2020 election cycle. In the 2018 election cycle, Gabbard accepted $8,404 in defense industry contributions.